Who makes this, how the front page is chosen, how it's sourced, how it's settled — and what happens when we get one wrong.
Predict Six is an independent product, founded and edited by Tom Davis. There is no media company behind it, no ad-sales floor, and no engagement team — one editor, a small circle of founding players who stress-test everything first, and an automated newsroom the editor supervises.
We are open about that last part because it is the interesting part: the daily questions and the news briefs behind them are drafted by an editorial pipeline that reads the day's reporting, and everything it produces runs under standing rules a human wrote and tightens continuously — the choosing rules, the sourcing rules and the settlement rules below. The pipeline drafts; the rules govern; the editor answers for it.
Every day, six questions — one from each desk: Politics, Markets, Sports, Culture, Discovery and World. Everyone gets the same six; there is no personalized feed, because a front page you can argue about has to be the same front page.
A story earns its slot on three tests at once: it should matter (the day's real news, not trivia about it), it should be recognizable (a reader who follows the news casually knows the actors), and it must be resolvable (a documented real-world outcome will settle it, on a stated date, from a source anyone can check). When the day's biggest story doesn't have a clean yes/no inside it, we ask its measurable pulse — the vote count, the box-office line, the ruling deadline — and let the brief carry the full story around it.
No topic is off-limits. There is no banned-subject list and no "too sensitive" flag. What we owe every story is the same craft: a question framed fairly enough that both YES and NO feel playable, and a brief that informs rather than argues. Neutral framing is a writing standard here, never a way of avoiding the news.
Every question carries a brief — roughly 280 words of background a player can read before making the call — and every brief names its sources: at least two, from real reporting, chosen so at least one is readable without a subscription. Briefs never editorialize the outcome; a brief that tipped the answer would ruin the game, which keeps our incentives pointed at fairness in a way few outlets can claim.
Setup facts inside a question — a record, a streak, a price — are verified against sources dated within the previous 48 hours before publication. Derived statistics ("on pace for…") are banned as premises unless a source published that pace itself.
Questions settle from 5 PM ET against documented outcomes. Every question is written with its decider named before publication — the final score on the league's site, the official data print, the ruling itself — so settlement is a lookup, not a debate.
Most verdicts are settled automatically, and the bar is deliberately high: the automated resolver must reach at least 0.90 confidence in a documented outcome before it may settle a question on its own. Anything below that bar — and every question the system flags as unsuitable for automation — waits for a human. A standing tripwire re-checks automated verdicts against later evidence, so a wrong automatic call is caught rather than trusted.
Every verdict is published with its reasoning at Resolutions, and the community's weekly hit-rate is public at the Predict Six Index — including the weeks the crowd got wrong. A record you can audit is the whole point.
When a question turns out to be unfair or unsettleable — the premise was wrong, the event was cancelled, the outcome genuinely can't be documented — we void it: the question is struck from scoring for every player, on every leaderboard, with no coins won or lost on it. A voided question stays visible; it is corrected, not disappeared.
Found something wrong — a false setup fact, a bad verdict, a source that doesn't say what we claimed? Tell us at info@predictsixapp.com. Corrections make the game fairer for everyone, which means we actually want the email.
Predict Six is free and involves no real money. No bets, no odds, no cash prizes — coins are points, and being right in front of your friends is the prize. We will never sell a better score, a peek at the crowd before you commit, or the answer.
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