July 29, 2026

Ford Motor Company shares closed higher on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, the day after the automaker reported second-quarter results that beat Wall Street expectations. Ford posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.42, topping the $0.35 analyst consensus, on revenue of $48.3 billion versus an expected $47.51 billion.

The stock climbed as much as 5.1% intraday to $15.73 before settling higher on the day. Management raised its full-year 2026 guidance, lifting its adjusted EBIT outlook to $10 billion-$11 billion and its free-cash-flow target to $6 billion-$7 billion, while holding capital-expenditure plans steady at $9.5 billion-$10.5 billion.

The results and improved outlook drew a wave of positive analyst reaction: Citigroup upgraded Ford to buy from neutral and raised its price target to $20, while other firms, including Deutsche Bank, also lifted their price targets following the report.

The Predict Six community was evenly split on this question, with only two votes recorded and a 50% yes share. With such a small sample, the vote reflects low turnout on a lightly watched market more than a meaningful read on sentiment ahead of the earnings beat.

President Trump did not publicly express frustration with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the 24 hours following their White House meeting on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. The roughly 90-minute Oval Office session, their first face-to-face encounter since the two countries' joint military campaign against Iran began, covered the pause in U.S. airstrikes on Iran, a framework for peace in Lebanon and expansion of the Abraham Accords.

Both sides characterized the meeting in positive terms. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt described the talks as "positive and productive," and outlets reported the two leaders touted a "productive" meeting despite weeks of prior reported tension over Iran strategy. Netanyahu voiced skepticism about reaching a deal with Tehran and discussed applying further economic pressure, but no public friction between the two leaders surfaced afterward.

The question resolved no. It followed a stretch of reported strain between the two governments over the conduct of the Iran conflict, which had fueled speculation the meeting could turn contentious.

The Predict Six community leaned correctly toward no, with 56% of voters predicting Trump would not express frustration, against 44% who expected friction to surface publicly.

The Senate did not vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act during the week of July 27-31, 2026. The chamber had no floor votes scheduled on the bill that week, as negotiations continued over a disputed ethics provision that would bar the president, vice president, members of Congress, federal judges and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets for compensation while in office.

Republicans had floated a compromise giving President Trump roughly a year to divest crypto holdings or place them in a blind trust, enforced by the Justice Department, but Democrats said the restrictions did not go far enough to prevent conflicts of interest. Without Democratic support, GOP leadership held off scheduling a floor vote, with consideration instead pushed toward the following week.

The delay followed weeks of on-again, off-again momentum for the bill, which supporters had billed as the most consequential piece of crypto market-structure legislation to reach the Senate floor.

The Predict Six community correctly anticipated the delay, with just 3% of voters predicting a vote would happen that week, reflecting wide recognition that the ethics dispute remained unresolved and Democratic support was not forthcoming.

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its July 29, 2026 meeting, marking the fifth consecutive policy meeting this year without a rate change. The Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-3 in favor of holding, with three regional bank presidents dissenting in favor of a hike rather than a cut.

The decision came despite mounting inflation pressure, driven in part by rising oil prices linked to the ongoing Iran conflict, and despite public pressure from President Trump for the Fed to lower rates. Chair Kevin Warsh told reporters after the meeting that the economy remained "solid," citing strong capital expenditure, productivity and labor-market data as reasons the committee saw no need to move rates in either direction. The Fed's statement reaffirmed that inflation remains elevated because of the run-up in energy prices and repeated its commitment to price stability.

The Predict Six community strongly anticipated this outcome, with 94% of voters predicting the Fed would hold steady. That confidence proved well placed: officials opted for continuity over reacting to short-term inflation pressure, even as three of their own colleagues pushed for tightening.

The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-3 on July 29, 2026, to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with three regional bank presidents dissenting — more than the single dissent the question required. Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan, Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari and Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack all voted against the majority, each preferring a quarter-point rate increase instead.

The dissenters pointed to inflation that has stayed above the Fed's 2% target for more than five years, worsened by a rebound in oil prices tied to renewed Middle East tensions. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged the split publicly, saying he had "asked for a good family fight, and I got one."

Three simultaneous dissents is unusual for the FOMC, which typically moves close to consensus. The division reflected a broader internal debate over how aggressively to respond to persistent inflation versus signs of slowing growth, playing out against a backdrop of White House pressure on the Fed to cut rates.

The Predict Six community got this right: 56% of voters predicted more than one dissent, correctly anticipating the unusual show of internal discord at the meeting.

The question resolved yes after Cleveland Guardians right-hander Gavin Williams struck out the side on nine pitches in the fourth inning against the Minnesota Twins on July 23, 2026, recording an immaculate inning. Williams retired Byron Buxton, Ryan Jeffers and Josh Bell in order, each on three pitches, and finished the outing with 11 strikeouts over seven innings while allowing two hits.

The feat was the first immaculate inning by a Guardians pitcher since 2022 and the fifth in franchise history. It was also the second immaculate inning thrown in MLB this season, following Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Michael Soroka's against Detroit on March 30, 2026.

No no-hitter or hit-for-the-cycle occurred during the remainder of July, so Williams' immaculate inning was the sole qualifying event that triggered resolution.

The Predict Six community badly missed this one: only 9% of voters bet yes, with 91% betting against any of the three rare feats occurring before the end of the month. The result was a reminder that immaculate innings, while uncommon, happen more often across a full month of MLB play than bettors tend to price in — this was the league's second one in four months.