November 3, 2026

The Chicago Bears beat the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks 34-17 on Monday Night Football, Nov. 2, 2026, at Lumen Field, despite entering the game as three-point underdogs. Running back D'Andre Swift scored three touchdowns for Chicago. Newly acquired defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons recorded a sack in his Bears debut as part of a defense that limited Seattle's offense for most of the night. Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold went 17-for-34 for 188 yards and two touchdowns, but a fourth-quarter interception set up one of Swift's scores, and the game was sealed when James Lynch intercepted a pass tipped by defensive end Austin Booker.

The win improved Chicago to 6-2 on the season and marked a decisive road victory over a Seattle team that had won three straight games going into the matchup.

The Predict Six community was evenly split on this question, with 50% predicting a Bears win, so there was no clear majority view to assess against the outcome.

Season 35 of "Dancing With the Stars" aired its Disney Night episode on Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, moved up from its usual Tuesday slot because of Election Day. Guest judge Cynthia Erivo joined the panel. Harry Shum Jr. and partner Jenna Johnson scored a second consecutive 40 out of 40, earning full marks for a jazz routine set to a "Mary Poppins" number, after becoming the first couple to reach a perfect score the previous week. Jenna Dewan and Val Chmerkovskiy also hit 40/40 with a quickstep to "Be Our Guest," the night's second perfect score.

Because the two couples tied atop the leaderboard, immunity from next week's dance-off went to Shum and Johnson, whose season-long point total of 236 edged Dewan and Chmerkovskiy's 235. Julia Stiles and partner Ezra Sosa were eliminated at the end of the episode based on a combination of judges' scores and viewer votes.

The Predict Six community had leaned against another perfect score, with only 43% predicting yes. The outcome went against that majority: two additional 40s were awarded on Disney Night, not just one.

The FDA did not approve mitapivat for sickle cell disease by its original Nov. 1, 2026, target, instead pushing its decision to Feb. 1, 2027. The agency extended the Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date by three months after classifying additional safety data from Agios Pharmaceuticals as a "major amendment" on Oct. 28. The request stemmed from an FDA inquiry on Oct. 9 into whether a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy would be needed to monitor hepatocellular injury risk, a concern that had previously delayed mitapivat's thalassemia indication in 2025.

Agios submitted roughly nine months of updated safety data on Oct. 19 in response. The company said its analysis found no cases of hepatocellular injury in sickle cell patients comparable in pattern or severity to those seen in thalassemia trials, and it has continued labeling discussions with the FDA while preparing for a commercial launch. Agios has described the drug as "launch-ready" pending the agency's final decision.

The delay, rather than an approval or rejection, meant the drug did not win approval by the Nov. 2 deadline this question tracked. The Predict Six community leaned toward "no," with 40% predicting approval, matching the eventual outcome.

Apple reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results on Nov. 2, posting diluted earnings per share of $2.10, above the $2.00 bar this question tracked. Revenue came in at $114.5 billion, up 12% year over year and a record for Apple's September quarter. Net income was $30.71 billion. The EPS figure included a $0.05 per-share benefit from tariff refunds, and gross margin reached 47.9%, also boosted by roughly one percentage point from those refunds.

iPhone revenue totaled about $57.58 billion for the quarter, while Services revenue hit an all-time high of roughly $31.57 billion. Mac revenue was $10.79 billion, iPad $6.23 billion, and wearables, home and accessories $8.30 billion. For the full fiscal year, Apple reported record revenue of about $479 billion and record EPS of $8.98, up 20% year over year. The earnings call was the first in the CFO role for Kevan Parekh alongside new CEO John Ternus.

This question drew no recorded community votes, so there is no crowd prediction to assess against the outcome. The $2.10 result cleared the $2.00 threshold, aided in part by the one-time tariff-refund benefit.

Elon Musk pledged on X on Monday, Oct. 19, 2026, to give one SpaceX share to every child in America starting in 2027, writing, "Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many." By Nov. 2, the deadline for this question, Musk had not specified an age cutoff, an enrollment process, or how shares would be distributed.

Reporting in the days after the post noted several unresolved mechanics: whether children would need to be U.S. citizens, whether shares would go directly to minors or be held in trust until adulthood, and how the plan would handle children turning 18 during 2027. President Trump praised the idea as consistent with his administration's "Trump Accounts" program, but Musk did not confirm any connection between the two. Estimates placed the total value of the giveaway near $10.5 billion, based on roughly 72 million U.S. children and SpaceX's internal share price.

The Predict Six community largely expected Musk to name an age cutoff by the deadline, with 78% predicting yes. The outcome went the other way: no cutoff or distribution details had been announced.

Skydance Media had not announced a specific layoff number tied to its Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition by Nov. 2, 2026, about three weeks after completing the $110 billion deal. Instead, on Oct. 26, CEO David Ellison's company notified employees of a Voluntary Buyout Program for eligible staff and announced a five-day in-office policy being phased in by location. The memo did not disclose how many employees would ultimately be affected by buyouts or any subsequent layoffs.

Skydance has pledged $6 billion in cost reductions over three years, including $2 billion in the first year, to help manage roughly $80 billion in debt taken on for the merger. Ellison has said the bulk of the savings would come from technology, procurement and real estate consolidation rather than workforce cuts, which helps explain why no hard layoff figure emerged so soon after the deal closed. The company's next major checkpoint was its third-quarter earnings report.

The Predict Six community leaned toward 'no' on this question, with 44% predicting yes, and the outcome matched the majority view: no layoff number had been disclosed by the deadline.

The Philadelphia 76ers beat the Chicago Bulls 126-107 at home on Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, extending their winning streak to four games and improving to 7-1, the best record in the Eastern Conference. Tyrese Maxey scored a game-high 26 points, including 15 in the fourth quarter, and added 11 assists on 10-of-15 shooting. LeBron James contributed 15 points, nine assists and seven rebounds, and VJ Edgecombe set a season high with 21 points. All five Philadelphia starters scored in double figures.

Philadelphia took control in the third quarter, when a James layup pushed the lead to 17 points with under five minutes remaining in the period. For Chicago, rookie Caleb Wilson led all Bulls scorers with 24 points, but the loss extended the team's losing streak to five games.

The win came days after the 76ers' victory over the defending-champion New York Knicks, part of a stretch in which Philadelphia beat New York twice. The Predict Six community unanimously predicted the Sixers would handle Chicago at home, and the result matched that expectation.

Palantir Technologies reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of $2.313 billion on Nov. 2, exceeding the $2.18 billion bar analysts and the market had set, according to the company's SEC-filed earnings release. Revenue rose 96% year over year, marking the company's first quarter above $2 billion. The growth was driven by U.S. commercial demand, which hit $984 million and surpassed U.S. government revenue for the first time in the company's history. GAAP net income was $1.128 billion, and diluted EPS came to $0.44, with adjusted operating income of $1.427 billion representing a 62% margin. Total contract value reached $2.918 billion, up 6% year over year.

The results followed a long run of quarterly beats, keeping a high bar heading into the report. The company's continued acceleration in U.S. commercial sales, tied to enterprise adoption of its AI platform, has been the central driver of its 2026 growth story.

The Predict Six community correctly anticipated the beat, with all participants predicting revenue would clear the $2.18 billion threshold.