October 14, 2026

4 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿ› Politics Resolved NO

Isaias became the Atlantic's first hurricane of 2026 and is forecast to hit the Alabama-Florida coast as a Category 2 on Oct 9-10. Will Trump approve a major disaster declaration for either state by Oct 13?

Community missed this one โ€” 56% predicted YES.

President Trump approved only a federal emergency declaration for Florida on Oct. 10, 2026, in response to Hurricane Isaias, not the major disaster declaration this question asked about, and no major disaster declaration had been issued for Alabama by the Oct. 13 deadline either, according to reporting from Fox10 and WLOX on FEMA's announcement. The emergency declaration covered 27 Florida Panhandle counties, including Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and Walton, authorizing direct federal assistance with the federal government covering 75% of costs for emergency protective measures; it stopped short of opening the individual assistance payments that follow a major disaster declaration. Isaias made landfall near Destin as a Category 2 storm on Oct. 9, the Atlantic season's first hurricane, cutting power to more than 600,000 customers across Florida and Alabama and contributing to at least four deaths. In the days after landfall, local officials in the Florida Panhandle were still compiling damage assessments to submit to the state before any request for individual assistance, and ultimately a major disaster declaration, could move forward. The community was closely split on this question, with 56% expecting a declaration by the deadline, but the standard sequence of damage assessment preceding a formal declaration meant the process had not advanced that far, and the question resolved no.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved YES

Guillermo Rodriguez scored 13 of 30 and survived again on 'Dancing With the Stars.' Will he be eliminated Oct 13?

67% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

Guillermo Rodriguez, Jimmy Kimmel's longtime sidekick, was eliminated from "Dancing With the Stars" Season 35 on the episode that aired Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2026, becoming the sixth couple sent home this season, according to Yahoo Entertainment and Hollywood Reporter recaps. He and professional partner Witney Carson were voted off after Rodriguez scored 13 of 30 points from the judges that week, continuing a pattern of low judges' scores that he had offset in earlier weeks with strong audience support; he had previously tied for the second-lowest judges' score in the show's history. The night's top score, 36 of 40, was shared by Jenna Dewan with partner Val Chmerkovskiy and Ezra Frech with partner Daniella Karagach. Rodriguez's exit ended a run in which he had survived multiple elimination rounds despite consistently ranking near the bottom of the judges' leaderboard, a gap that drew public criticism from fans and fellow competitors who argued it was unfair to higher-scoring dancers. The community largely anticipated this outcome, with 67% expecting his elimination, correctly judging that his combination of low judges' scores and a deep remaining field of stronger dancers would finally outweigh the fan-vote cushion that had carried him through several prior weeks.

๐ŸŽฌ Culture Resolved YES

'Patient Zero' gave Taylor Swift her 16th Hot 100 No. 1. Will it still be on top of the chart dated Oct 17?

89% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

Taylor Swift's "Patient Zero" held the No. 1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated Oct. 17, 2026, marking its third consecutive week atop the chart, per Billboard's published rankings and reporting from Yahoo Entertainment. The song debuted at No. 1 in late September, becoming Swift's 16th career Hot 100 leader and tying Drake for the most No. 1 debuts in the chart's history, while ending Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas," which had logged a record 24 consecutive weeks at No. 1. "Patient Zero," from the deluxe edition of Swift's album, built its chart run on a combination of streaming, airplay and sales data, with other tracks from the same release, including "Cleveland!," "Babylon" and "Pink Clouding," also occupying top-five positions in the weeks following its debut. Its continued hold reflects sustained consumption across formats rather than a single release-week spike, as later tracking weeks showed the song still leading the Billboard Streaming Songs chart as well. The community strongly favored yes, with 89% expecting the song to remain on top through the Oct. 17 chart, and the outcome matched that expectation: Swift's commercial momentum, built on a deep slate of competing album tracks, proved durable enough to hold the top spot for a third straight week.

๐Ÿ”ญ Discovery Resolved NO

Kenya confirmed its first Ebola case and death on Oct 6. Will it confirm a second case by Oct 13?

Community missed this one โ€” 80% predicted YES.

Kenya's Ministry of Health confirmed a second Ebola case on Oct. 14, 2026, one day after this question's deadline, according to the Associated Press and Africanews. The patient was a close relative of the country's first confirmed case, a man who had traveled from the Democratic Republic of Congo through Uganda before dying in a Nairobi hospital on Oct. 5. Health officials said the second patient was already under quarantine as a traced contact of the first case when he developed symptoms on Oct. 13; laboratory tests at two facilities confirmed the infection the following day. Authorities identified the strain as Bundibugyo, matching the ongoing DRC outbreak that has recorded more than 8,000 cases and over 4,000 deaths, and said there was no evidence of spread beyond the two linked cases. As of Oct. 13, Kenya had traced 113 of the first patient's 128 known contacts, with 108 in quarantine, and no second case had yet been confirmed, so the question resolved no. The community leaned heavily toward yes, with 80% expecting a second case by the deadline. That expectation proved directionally correct but technically wrong: the second case emerged roughly 24 hours after the window closed, a reminder of how a fixed deadline can separate an accurate read of a situation from the recorded outcome.