Kenya confirmed its first Ebola case and death on Oct 6. Will it confirm a second case by Oct 13?

Kenya's Ministry of Health confirmed a second Ebola case on Oct. 14, 2026, one day after this question's deadline, according to the Associated Press and Africanews. The patient was a close relative of the country's first confirmed case, a man who had traveled from the Democratic Republic of Congo through Uganda before dying in a Nairobi hospital on Oct. 5. Health officials said the second patient was already under quarantine as a traced contact of the first case when he developed symptoms on Oct. 13; laboratory tests at two facilities confirmed the infection the following day. Authorities identified the strain as Bundibugyo, matching the ongoing DRC outbreak that has recorded more than 8,000 cases and over 4,000 deaths, and said there was no evidence of spread beyond the two linked cases. As of Oct. 13, Kenya had traced 113 of the first patient's 128 known contacts, with 108 in quarantine, and no second case had yet been confirmed, so the question resolved no. The community leaned heavily toward yes, with 80% expecting a second case by the deadline. That expectation proved directionally correct but technically wrong: the second case emerged roughly 24 hours after the window closed, a reminder of how a fixed deadline can separate an accurate read of a situation from the recorded outcome.