October 4, 2026

4 resolutions on this day.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Markets Resolved YES

Micron beat by $2 a share on record $54.2 billion in sales. Will MU close above its pre-earnings $1,065 on Oct 2?

Community missed this one โ€” 54% predicted NO.

Micron Technology's stock closed above its pre-earnings level of $1,065 on Oct. 2, finishing near $1,075, two trading days after the company reported record fiscal fourth-quarter results on Sept. 30. Micron posted adjusted earnings of $33.42 a share on revenue of $54.23 billion, topping Wall Street's targets of roughly $31.16 a share and $50.45 billion, driven by surging demand for AI-related memory chips. It marked the company's sixth consecutive quarter of record sales.

Shares rose about 3% in the first session after the report, breaking a pattern in which Micron's previous five post-earnings reactions had initially dipped before recovering. The stock held most of those gains through Oct. 2, even as some memory-sector peers eased on concerns that current chip pricing and AI-driven demand could prove difficult to sustain.

The community was closely split on this outcome, with 46% predicting MU would close above $1,065 โ€” a narrow majority leaned the other way, though the final result was close to a coin flip.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved YES

The Dodgers won 100 games and then got a week off. Can they take NLDS Game 1 at home on Oct 3?

100% of users predicted YES โ€” community got this one right.

The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves 5-3 in Game 1 of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium on Oct. 3, taking the series opener after a week of rest following a 100-win regular season. Teoscar Hernandez, Kyle Tucker and Max Muncy each homered to power the offense, while the Dodgers' starting pitcher worked six strong innings to limit Atlanta despite triple-digit on-field heat. The game took 2 hours and 44 minutes in front of 50,194 fans.

The win extended the Dodgers' home-field advantage into the series and fit expectations for a club that finished with one of the best records in baseball, then used its first-round bye to rest key players before the division series began.

The community was unanimous in predicting this outcome, with 100% expecting the Dodgers to win Game 1, reflecting the wide gap between the two clubs after Los Angeles' dominant regular season and the extra rest afforded by its bye.

๐ŸŒ World Resolved NO

Iran handed Washington a seven-day roadmap to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Will the U.S. and Iran announce a ceasefire by Oct 2?

64% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

No ceasefire between the United States and Iran was announced by Oct. 2. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi presented a seven-day roadmap in New York on Sept. 25, proposing an end to hostilities across the region, including Gaza and Lebanon, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz on the plan's final day, in exchange for sanctions relief, release of roughly $12 billion in frozen Iranian assets, and an end to the U.S. naval blockade.

President Trump rejected the proposal within a day, telling reporters on Sept. 26 that he was "rejecting their deal" because Iran wanted to reopen the strait immediately while giving up little in return. U.N. Ambassador Mike Waltz said the sticking point was Iran's demand for sanctions relief up front. Trump also said he was weighing renewed airstrikes on Iran after the November midterm elections.

The rejection left the Strait of Hormuz closed and the broader conflict, which began in February 2026, unresolved heading into October. The community correctly anticipated this outcome: only 36% predicted a ceasefire would be announced by the deadline.

๐Ÿˆ Sports Resolved NO

Aaron Judge hasn't played since Sept 16 and sat out the Yankees' wild-card sweep. Will he be in the starting lineup for ALDS Game 1 on Oct 3?

75% of users predicted NO โ€” community got this one right.

Yankees captain Aaron Judge was left off New York's roster for the ALDS against the Tampa Bay Rays, missing Game 1 on Oct. 3. Judge had not played since Sept. 16 because of a right calf strain and had already sat out the Yankees' wild-card series. Manager Aaron Boone said Judge was "not quite there yet" in his recovery. The decision came after Judge took live batting practice and ran the bases at Yankee Stadium, but the training staff determined that base-running remained too risky to clear him for the series opener. Trent Grisham, Spencer Jones, Heliot Ramos and Giancarlo Stanton filled out the Yankees' outfield instead.

The calf strain capped an injury-disrupted 2026 season for Judge, who also missed roughly three months earlier in the year with a fractured rib before returning for only a handful of regular-season games down the stretch.

The community largely anticipated this outcome: only 25% predicted Judge would start Game 1, correctly reading the lingering injury concerns after his extended absence from the lineup.