August 2, 2026

12 resolutions on this day.

🏈 Sports Resolved NO

Will the Indiana Fever beat the Minnesota Lynx on Sunday, August 2?

67% of users predicted NO β€” community got this one right.

The Minnesota Lynx beat the Indiana Fever 108-100 on Sunday, August 2, extending Minnesota's winning streak to 10 straight games. Rookie Olivia Miles led the Lynx with 28 points, and Courtney Williams added 27, according to ESPN's game recap.

The Fever were unable to slow Minnesota's offense despite scoring 100 points themselves, continuing a difficult stretch for Indiana as the team battled to hold playoff positioning down the stretch of the WNBA season. Minnesota's streak reinforced its status as one of the league's top teams heading into August.

The community correctly leaned toward this outcome, with only 33% predicting an Indiana win, reflecting the wide gap in recent form between the two teams β€” Minnesota's double-digit winning streak against Indiana's inconsistent form made the Lynx the clear on-paper favorite. The final margin, eight points, was closer than the lopsided streak might have suggested, but the outcome matched expectations.

🏈 Sports Resolved NO

Will the New York Liberty beat the Phoenix Mercury by more than 10 points on Saturday, August 1?

Community missed this one β€” 50% predicted YES.

The New York Liberty beat the Phoenix Mercury 94-92 on Saturday, August 1, but the four-point margin fell well short of the double-digit win needed to resolve this question "yes." Sabrina Ionescu led New York with 27 points and 10 assists, while Han Xu added 17 points off the bench, per ESPN and CBS Sports game recaps.

The Mercury kept the game close throughout, denying the Liberty the kind of comfortable margin the question required. The tight finish reflected Phoenix's competitiveness down the stretch of the WNBA regular season rather than a lopsided mismatch between the two playoff-contending teams.

The community was evenly split at 50% heading into the game, a reasonable reflection of genuine uncertainty about margin of victory, even though the exact "win by more than 10" framing made the specific outcome hard to call regardless of which team won. New York's win kept it in playoff positioning, while Phoenix's narrow loss preserved momentum despite falling just short.

🏈 Sports Resolved NO

Will 21 year old Jackson Koivun follow up last week's win with top 5 finish this week at Rocket Mortgage?

71% of users predicted NO β€” community got this one right.

Jackson Koivun, fresh off his maiden PGA Tour win the week before at the 3M Open, failed to back it up with a top-5 finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, closing the tournament tied for 48th at 4-under par. Michael Thorbjornsen won his first PGA Tour title at Detroit Golf Club with an 18-under 262, two shots ahead of runner-up Xander Schauffele, with Davis Riley and Rasmus Hojgaard rounding out the top four, per CBS Sports and PGA Tour reporting.

Koivun, 21, had entered the week as a storyline given his rapid rise, but an inconsistent final round left him well outside contention. The result illustrated the difficulty of sustaining top-tier form week to week on tour, even for players coming off a breakthrough win.

The community correctly anticipated this outcome, with only 29% predicting Koivun would post another top-5 finish, reflecting skepticism that a rookie could immediately follow one win with another strong showing against a stacked field. Thorbjornsen's win instead became the week's headline, capping a tournament in which several established veterans, including Rickie Fowler and Cameron Young, also factored into contention before fading.

🏈 Sports Resolved NO

Will Brock Lesnar beat Oba Femi in SummerSlam's Hell in a Cell match on Saturday, August 1?

Community missed this one β€” 50% predicted YES.

Oba Femi defeated Brock Lesnar in the Hell in a Cell match that closed Night 1 of WWE SummerSlam on Saturday, August 1, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Lesnar opened aggressively with suplexes, but Femi took control using ringside tables and steel steps; Lesnar answered with chair shots and a Tombstone Piledriver delivered onto exposed wood after tearing away the ring canvas and padding. Femi kicked out and finished the match with a Fall From Grace for the pinfall, as reported by Fox News and Forbes.

Afterward, Lesnar told the crowd, "This is the future, ladies and gentlemen," calling Femi the future of WWE and himself "the past" β€” an in-ring endorsement signaling a generational handoff. The result positioned Femi, a rising star promoted from WWE's developmental brand, as a top-tier main-roster act after surviving one of Lesnar's most physical outings in years.

The community was evenly split ahead of the match at 50% predicting a Lesnar win, reflecting genuine uncertainty between a legacy star and an ascending younger competitor. The finish, and Lesnar's post-match comments, confirmed WWE's intent to elevate Femi rather than protect Lesnar's win total.

🎬 Culture Resolved YES

Will 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' out 7/31 surpass Toy Story 5 for top US grossing opening wknd in '26?

Community missed this one β€” 61% predicted NO.

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day," which opened July 31, surpassed "Toy Story 5" to become 2026's biggest domestic opening weekend, grossing an estimated $355 million compared to Toy Story 5's $160 million debut in June. The Pixar sequel had held the year's opening-weekend record for roughly six weeks; it itself had bested "Toy Story 4's" 2019 debut by nearly $40 million and posted the second-biggest opening ever for a Pixar release, per Variety and The Hollywood Reporter.

"Brand New Day's" haul β€” the second-largest domestic opening of all time behind "Avengers: Endgame" β€” more than doubled Toy Story 5's mark, resetting the year's benchmark by a wide margin, driven by record-setting Friday, Saturday, and Sunday tallies.

The community underestimated this outcome, with only 39% predicting Spider-Man would top Toy Story 5's mark, likely reflecting uncertainty about whether a franchise reboot could outdraw an established, multigenerational Pixar sequel. In the event, the comparison was not close: "Brand New Day" beat Toy Story 5's opening by roughly $195 million, making it one of the more lopsided box-office comparisons of the year.

🎬 Culture Resolved YES

Will Netflix's 'Little House on the Prairie' reboot reach the U.S. daily Top 10 by Friday, July 31?

50% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

Netflix's "Little House on the Prairie" reboot, which premiered July 9, remained one of Netflix's most-watched U.S. titles through late July. A report from The Wrap credited the series with 9.8 million views and the No. 1 spot on Netflix's weekly Nielsen-style viewership chart for the period, while earlier coverage from Variety and CBR documented the show racking up millions of views in its first days and holding a top-three global position on Netflix's own Top 10 tracker.

Netflix's own daily Top 10 page β€” the resource the market used as its resolution source β€” is the most direct record of whether the show specifically reached the U.S. daily Top 10 by Friday, July 31. Independently available mainstream coverage, however, reports weekly aggregated viewership and global rankings rather than a title's specific U.S. daily rank on that exact date.

Given the gap between the strongly corroborated general trend (sustained top-of-chart performance through the month) and a precisely dated mainstream confirmation of the Friday-specific U.S. daily ranking, this entry is being routed for editorial review rather than auto-published.

🎬 Culture Resolved YES

Can 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' clear $300 million domestically in its opening weekend?

Community missed this one β€” 59% predicted NO.

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" cleared $300 million in domestic box office over its opening weekend of July 31–August 2, finishing with an estimated $355 million β€” the second-highest domestic opening weekend of all time, trailing only "Avengers: Endgame's" 2019 debut. The film broke the opening-Friday record with $168 million, added $101.5 million on Saturday, and an estimated $84 million on Sunday, according to studio estimates reported by CNBC and The Hollywood Reporter.

The result far exceeded much pre-release tracking, which had pointed to a strong but less extreme debut for the franchise reboot. Momentum built through the week as reviews and early audience reaction turned positive, pushing final estimates well past initial projections. Sony had positioned the film as a fresh take on the character following its prior film trilogy, and the outsized debut reflected strong demand combined with a light summer slate from competitors.

The community significantly underestimated the outcome, with only 41% forecasting the film would clear $300 million, reflecting broader market skepticism about reboot fatigue that the film's record-setting numbers ultimately dispelled.

🏈 Sports Resolved YES

Will CM Punk beat Cody Rhodes in SummerSlam's Night 1 main event on Saturday, August 1?

50% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

CM Punk retained the Undisputed WWE Championship over Cody Rhodes in the co-main event of SummerSlam Night 1 on Saturday, August 1, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The match, the longest on the card at 29 minutes 43 seconds, turned when Rhodes accidentally took out the referee, and a returning Randy Orton β€” making his first appearance since WrestleMania 42 β€” blindsided Rhodes with an RKO. Punk capitalized with a GTS for the pinfall.

Orton's surprise return added a new storyline wrinkle heading into the rest of SummerSlam weekend, and the result kept Punk's title reign intact while setting up potential follow-up angles involving Orton and Rhodes. Night 1's official main event, a separate Hell in a Cell match between Brock Lesnar and Oba Femi, closed the show afterward.

The community was evenly split ahead of the match, with 50% predicting a Punk win, reflecting genuine uncertainty given Rhodes' championship aspirations. The finish, decided by outside interference rather than a clean pin, is consistent with WWE's pattern of using multi-person angles in marquee title matches to extend storylines rather than settle them outright.

🌍 World Resolved NO

Will Sam Altman's DC meetings this week result in support from the White House for new OpenAI products?

Community missed this one β€” 68% predicted YES.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman met with senior Trump administration officials in Washington during the week of July 27, including White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, National Cyber Director Sean Cairncross, and science and technology adviser Michael Kratsios, alongside lawmakers such as Sen. Ted Cruz. The visit, reported by Axios and CNBC, coincided with an August 1 deadline set by President Trump's June executive order requiring federal agencies to develop an AI evaluation framework. Altman previewed OpenAI's next model and discussed cybersecurity and U.S. competitiveness in AI, and OpenAI publicly backed the executive order.

The meetings, however, produced no announced White House endorsement or support package for specific new OpenAI products. The sessions centered on policy framework discussions and AI competitiveness rather than product-specific commitments, and no agency or administration statement backing new OpenAI offerings followed before the question's close.

The community leaned toward "yes" at 68%, expecting the high-profile access to translate into concrete White House support, but the actual outcome was "no": the meetings remained exploratory policy discussions, and the community's expectation of a tangible endorsement did not materialize in the available record.

🎬 Culture Resolved YES

Will 'The Hawk,' Will Ferrell's golf comedy, still top Netflix's U.S. show chart on Friday, July 31?

50% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

Will Ferrell's golf comedy "The Hawk" premiered on Netflix July 16 with an eight-episode first season, and it ranked among Netflix's most-watched U.S. titles through late July, per Netflix's own Top 10 data and trade coverage from The Wrap and Forbes. Weekly viewership reports for the period showed "The Hawk" trading places near the top of Netflix's U.S. chart alongside the freshly launched "Little House on the Prairie" reboot and the Harlan Coben series "I Will Find You," with different weekly snapshots showing it at either No. 1 or No. 2 depending on the reporting window.

Netflix's own daily Top 10 page, which the market used as its resolution source, is the most direct record of the show's day-by-day chart position, but independently available mainstream news coverage reports weekly aggregated viewership rather than a title's specific daily rank for Friday, July 31.

Given the gap between the general trend (strong, top-of-chart performance through the period) and a precisely dated, mainstream-sourced confirmation of the Friday-specific ranking, this entry is being routed for editorial review rather than auto-published.

🎬 Culture Resolved YES

Will North America's total box office top $275 million for the July 31–August 2 weekend?

100% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

North America's box office topped $275 million for the July 31–August 2 weekend, powered almost entirely by the debut of Sony's "Spider-Man: Brand New Day." The film alone pulled in an estimated $355 million domestically, the second-biggest opening weekend in box-office history and just a couple million dollars behind the all-time record set by "Avengers: Endgame" in 2019. It set a new opening-Friday record with $168 million, per studio estimates reported by CNBC, then added $101.5 million on Saturday and an estimated $84 million on Sunday.

The blockbuster opening reflected strong demand for the franchise reboot and positive early reception, easily clearing pre-release forecasts that had called for a large but less extreme debut. With "Brand New Day" alone exceeding the $275 million threshold, the rest of the weekend's holdover releases only added to the total.

The community was unanimous in predicting the weekend would clear $275 million, with 100% forecasting "yes," a call that proved straightforward given pre-release tracking already pointed to a record-setting opening for the Spider-Man film well before the weekend began.

🌍 World Resolved YES

Will OPEC+ agree to raise oil production at its meeting on Sunday, August 2?

73% of users predicted YES β€” community got this one right.

OPEC+'s core members β€” Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman β€” agreed on Sunday, August 2, to raise oil output quotas by roughly 188,000 barrels per day starting in September. The increase completes the group's rollback of a voluntary 1.65 million-bpd production cut first agreed to in 2023. Delegates said the group will pause further hikes after September while it conducts a capacity review that will set 2027 output baselines, a process expected to produce contentious talks as members such as Iraq push for higher individual quotas.

The decision extends a series of monthly increases OPEC+ has made through 2026 as it works to reclaim market share ceded during pandemic-era cuts, even as the moves have weighed on crude prices. It was widely telegraphed in advance by sources cited in Reuters and CNBC reporting ahead of the Sunday meeting.

The community correctly predicted the outcome, with 73% forecasting "yes" heading into the meeting, reflecting expectations that the group would proceed with the increase rather than pause it given oversupply concerns. Analysts had flagged the meeting as largely a formality given OPEC+'s recent pattern of steady, incremental hikes.