July 26, 2026

President Trump did not carry out his threat to strike an Iranian power plant before the weekend of July 25-26, 2026 ended. Trump had warned on July 22 that the U.S. would "bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT," including facilities in Tehran, every time Iran attacked a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, after U.S. Central Command said Iran had hit more than 30 ships over the prior three months despite a June ceasefire memorandum.

Rather than following through, the administration shifted toward negotiation. Reporting indicated the U.S. paused new strikes on Iran starting around July 25, the first such pause in two weeks, as officials signaled they would let diplomatic talks progress. Trump separately discussed a possible two-week ceasefire tied to Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining that the U.S. military remained "locked and loaded" if negotiations failed.

No strike on an Iranian power plant was reported by the close of the weekend, consistent with the broader de-escalation seen in the final days of the question's window.

Predict Six's community correctly anticipated this, with just 16 percent of 32 voters predicting the strike would happen before the weekend was over.

Caitlin Clark's squad defeated Paige Bueckers' team in the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game, played Saturday, July 25, at the United Center in Chicago. Team Spoon, which included Clark, beat Team Coop, captained by Bueckers and featuring Angel Reese, by a score of 129-122 in front of a record crowd.

Jonquel Jones led the winning side and earned game MVP honors with 22 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists. Clark added 17 points on 6-of-17 shooting, including five three-pointers, along with five assists, four rebounds and a steal. For the losing team, Kelsey Mitchell scored a game-high 28 points and Marina Mabrey added 23 off the bench, while Bueckers contributed 12 points and seven assists.

The high-scoring exhibition drew significant attention given the season's ongoing storylines involving Clark, Reese and Bueckers, which have dominated WNBA coverage throughout 2026.

Predict Six's community was split heading in, with only 48 percent of 31 voters predicting a win for Clark's side, making this close to a coin flip that ultimately broke in Clark's favor.

The Seattle Mariners did not overtake the Texas Rangers atop the AL West during their four-game series in Arlington that concluded Sunday, July 26, 2026. Texas won the series opener 5-4 on July 24 behind a Jake Burger home run and go-ahead single, and took two of the first three games to build a division lead of roughly two and a half games entering the finale. The Mariners salvaged the last game of the set, winning 6-4 on July 26, but their earlier losses left them short of catching Texas by the time the series ended.

The Rangers and Mariners entered the series as the top two teams in the division, with the four games billed as a direct fight for first place. Despite the finale win, Seattle's overall series result left Texas in front in the standings once the last out was recorded.

Predict Six's community largely got this right: only 45 percent of 31 voters predicted the Mariners would come away leading the division, consistent with the actual outcome that Texas retained the top spot in the AL West.

Marvel Studios held its Hall H panel at San Diego Comic-Con on Saturday, July 25, 2026, delivering a string of announcements built around existing franchises rather than an entirely new movie series. The headline reveal was a Ghost Rider film starring Ryan Gosling as the new lead, directed by Shawn Levy, set for release in 2028. Marvel also confirmed David Jonsson as the new Black Panther for a third film in that franchise from director Ryan Coogler, and screened exclusive footage from the in-production "Avengers: Doomsday."

The panel additionally confirmed a September 25 theatrical re-release of "Avengers: Endgame" with new bonus footage, and revealed that "VisionQuest," a Disney+ series continuing the "WandaVision" storyline, would premiere October 14. Studio president Kevin Feige framed the presentation around continuing established Marvel Cinematic Universe threads rather than launching a freestanding new franchise.

Predict Six's community leaned toward expecting a new series announcement, with 61 percent of 31 voters predicting yes going into the panel. The resolution came back no, since the panel's reveals extended the existing MCU slate rather than introducing an unconnected new movie series.

No "massive attack" on Iran had been launched as of Sunday, July 26, 2026, the deadline implied by President Trump's own comments days earlier. Trump told Axios on July 23 that he was "close to making a decision" on a strike he described as "bigger than ever before," following 13 consecutive nights of U.S. strikes on Iranian targets. He gave no firm deadline at the time.

Instead of an escalation, the following days brought a pause. CNN reported on July 25 that the U.S. military had not announced new strikes on Iran for the first time in two weeks, as the administration signaled it would let diplomatic talks progress. Officials described the U.S. military posture as "locked and loaded" while negotiations continued, with Trump suggesting Iran was becoming "more serious" about a deal even as he voiced skepticism they were fully ready to sign one.

The pause held through the weekend, meaning the threatened large-scale attack did not materialize within the question's window.

Predict Six's community correctly anticipated this outcome, with only 14 percent of 36 voters predicting the attack would be launched by Sunday.

The 2026 WNBA All-Star Game went off Saturday, July 25, in Chicago without the organized chants, signs, or protests some had anticipated given weeks of rising tension around the league. Caitlin Clark's Team Spoon beat Angel Reese and Paige Bueckers' Team Coop 129-122 at the United Center in front of a record crowd, with Jonquel Jones named game MVP after scoring 22 points with 13 rebounds and eight assists.

The absence of an in-arena incident came despite a genuinely fraught buildup: WNBA Commissioner Cathy Engelbert and the players' union met on July 21 to address a spike in racist and misogynistic messages sent to players online, and multiple players had publicly described receiving threats in the weeks before the game. That hostility, however, stayed largely confined to social media rather than surfacing as visible disruption during the broadcast or inside the arena.

Coverage of the game instead centered on the offensive fireworks, record attendance, and Jones's MVP performance rather than any fan-driven incident.

Predict Six's community anticipated this correctly, with just 19 percent of 31 voters predicting a disruption before tip-off.

Kimi Antonelli finished third at the Hungarian Grand Prix on Sunday, July 26, 2026, securing a podium finish despite starting seventh on the grid after a grid penalty. The 19-year-old Mercedes driver worked his way forward through the field in a race won by Lando Norris, and the result padded Antonelli's lead atop the Formula 1 Drivers' Championship standings.

Antonelli's podium came from race pace rather than late-race chaos; he described the race as "tough" but said he maximized the opportunities available from a compromised starting position. Ferrari struggled for pace at the Hungaroring, clearing a path for Antonelli and other rivals to gain ground in the standings.

The result extends what has become one of the season's defining storylines: a rookie driver holding off more experienced competition for the championship lead heading into Formula 1's summer break.

Predict Six's community called this one correctly, with 57 percent of 47 voters predicting a top-three finish for Antonelli before the race.