Will Trump follow through on his threat to blow up an Iranian power plant before the weekend is over?
84% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 32 predictions cast.
President Trump did not carry out his threat to strike an Iranian power plant before the weekend of July 25-26, 2026 ended. Trump had warned on July 22 that the U.S. would "bomb and destroy ONE BRIDGE OR POWER PLANT," including facilities in Tehran, every time Iran attacked a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, after U.S. Central Command said Iran had hit more than 30 ships over the prior three months despite a June ceasefire memorandum.
Rather than following through, the administration shifted toward negotiation. Reporting indicated the U.S. paused new strikes on Iran starting around July 25, the first such pause in two weeks, as officials signaled they would let diplomatic talks progress. Trump separately discussed a possible two-week ceasefire tied to Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining that the U.S. military remained "locked and loaded" if negotiations failed.
No strike on an Iranian power plant was reported by the close of the weekend, consistent with the broader de-escalation seen in the final days of the question's window.
Predict Six's community correctly anticipated this, with just 16 percent of 32 voters predicting the strike would happen before the weekend was over.