July 16, 2026

Netflix reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $12.6 billion on July 16, up 13% year over year, exceeding the double-digit growth threshold in the question. The company said the increase was driven by membership growth, pricing changes, and higher advertising revenue, with double-digit growth in every region it tracks, including EMEA, LATAM, and APAC. Operating income rose 11% to $4.2 billion, though operating margin slipped slightly to 33.4% from 34.1% a year earlier. Diluted earnings per share came in at $0.80, up from $0.72 in the prior-year quarter. Despite the strong headline growth, shares fell after the report as Netflix narrowed its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to $51.0-$51.4 billion and guided to a somewhat softer 12% revenue growth rate for the third quarter, reflecting only a partial-quarter impact from a recent U.S. and Canada price change. Investors focused on that forward guidance rather than the quarter's already-known results, which matched what analysts had broadly expected.

The community correctly predicted the outcome, with 72% forecasting double-digit revenue growth.

The Senate voted 50-46 on July 14, 2026, against advancing the fiscal year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act, ten votes short of the 60 needed to open debate on the roughly $1.15 trillion defense policy bill. It was the second time in two weeks that senators held up the traditionally bipartisan measure. Senate Democrats, led in part by Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, said they could not support advancing the bill after the White House notified Congress it had resumed military strikes on Iran, ending a brief ceasefire. Sen. Tammy Duckworth, an Iraq War veteran, said she would oppose the NDAA unless it included her amendment barring authorized funds from being used for the Iran war. Other Democrats objected to provisions deepening U.S.-Israel military integration and to a proposed increase in Pentagon spending, to $1.5 trillion from roughly $900 billion the prior year. Majority Leader John Thune was the only Republican to vote against the motion, a procedural move that preserves his ability to bring the bill back to the floor. The bill had not passed by the Friday deadline referenced in the question.

The community correctly anticipated the outcome, with just 15% predicting Senate passage by the deadline.

Argentina defeated England 2-1 in a FIFA World Cup semifinal in Atlanta on July 15, 2026, advancing to the final against Spain and eliminating any chance of an all-European final. England's Anthony Gordon put the Three Lions ahead in the 55th minute, but Argentina rallied late: Enzo Fernandez equalized in the 85th minute, and Lautaro Martinez scored the winner in second-half stoppage time. Lionel Messi set up both Argentina goals, extending his run of decisive contributions in the tournament. The comeback handed England another World Cup semifinal defeat to Argentina, continuing a rivalry that has defined recent tournaments and evokes memories of past knockout-stage meetings between the two sides. Argentina went on to face Spain, which had beaten France in the other semifinal earlier the same day, setting up a Sunday final between two of the tournament's most dominant teams.

The community correctly forecast this result, with 73% predicting an Argentina win that would spoil the chance for an all-Europe final.

An ICE agent fatally shot Lorenzo Salgado Araujo on July 7, 2026, during a traffic stop in north Houston, where he and three coworkers were on their way to a construction job. ICE said Salgado Araujo tried to run over an agent; a lawyer for two of the three eyewitnesses, including Salgado Araujo's brother, disputed that account, saying no officers were positioned in the vehicle's path. By July 15, none of the three witnesses had testified in the investigation. All three remained detained at the Montgomery Processing Center in Conroe, Texas, though the acting ICE director said they would stay in the Houston area while the probe continued. On July 13, the Harris County District Attorney's office said it would treat the shooting as a criminal matter but cautioned the review could take months or years, since federal authorities control access to evidence and witnesses. U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia said the witness accounts undermined ICE's version of events. No formal testimony process had begun as of the question's July 15 deadline.

The community correctly anticipated this outcome, with only 32% predicting the witnesses would testify by that date.