Will the Senate pass the FY2027 defense bill that the Dems just blocked by this Friday?

The Senate voted 50-46 on July 14, 2026, against advancing the fiscal year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act, ten votes short of the 60 needed to open debate on the roughly $1.15 trillion defense policy bill. It was the second time in two weeks that senators held up the traditionally bipartisan measure. Senate Democrats, led in part by Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, said they could not support advancing the bill after the White House notified Congress it had resumed military strikes on Iran, ending a brief ceasefire. Sen. Tammy Duckworth, an Iraq War veteran, said she would oppose the NDAA unless it included her amendment barring authorized funds from being used for the Iran war. Other Democrats objected to provisions deepening U.S.-Israel military integration and to a proposed increase in Pentagon spending, to $1.5 trillion from roughly $900 billion the prior year. Majority Leader John Thune was the only Republican to vote against the motion, a procedural move that preserves his ability to bring the bill back to the floor. The bill had not passed by the Friday deadline referenced in the question.

The community correctly anticipated the outcome, with just 15% predicting Senate passage by the deadline.