Week of September 6, 2026 — September 12, 2026
72%
community accuracy on 38 of 53 resolved questions
By category
🏈
Sports
63%
5 of 8
💰
Markets
75%
6 of 8
🏛
Politics
67%
8 of 12
🎬
Culture
0%
0 of 1
🔭
Discovery
82%
9 of 11
🌍
World
77%
10 of 13
Questions that mattered
🏛 Politics
Biggest miss
"A judge struck down Trump's visa ban on 75 countries. Will the Justice Department appeal before Sept 8?"
18% community accuracy
22 votes
Outcome: No
💰 Markets
Biggest hit
"Gas averaged more than $4 a gallon every day in August, a first. Will the U.S. national average fall below $4 by Sept 8?"
95% community accuracy
20 votes
Outcome: No
🌍 World
Most-predicted
"Will there be some kind of 'AI emergency' in Aug that triggers govt action? Dig Deeper link a bit scary!"
69% community accuracy
35 votes
Outcome: No
This week's index reflects 53 questions and 1,019 community votes. Read the methodology →