Week of August 30, 2026 — September 5, 2026

58%

community accuracy on 29 of 50 resolved questions

By category

🏈

Sports

38%

3 of 8

💰

Markets

50%

4 of 8

🏛

Politics

63%

5 of 8

🎬

Culture

75%

6 of 8

🔭

Discovery

64%

7 of 11

🌍

World

57%

4 of 7

🌍 World Biggest miss

"Trump set 50% tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods for Aug 19. Will Washington exempt or suspend any of them before Aug 27?"

19% community accuracy 21 votes Outcome: No

🏛 Politics Biggest hit

"Will Lisa Cook still be a Federal Reserve governor on Aug 31?"

88% community accuracy 25 votes Outcome: Yes

💰 Markets Most-predicted

"With more teasing by Elon, will the process of merging Tesla & SpaceX begin anytime in August?"

63% community accuracy 35 votes Outcome: No

This week's index reflects 50 questions and 1,105 community votes. Read the methodology →