Week of August 23, 2026 — August 29, 2026

63%

community accuracy on 25 of 40 resolved questions

By category

🏈

Sports

67%

4 of 6

💰

Markets

70%

7 of 10

🏛

Politics

60%

3 of 5

🎬

Culture

43%

3 of 7

🔭

Discovery

57%

4 of 7

🌍

World

80%

4 of 5

🏛 Politics Biggest miss

"Will Trump name a new White House press secretary before Aug 29?"

4% community accuracy 23 votes Outcome: No

💰 Markets Biggest hit

"The 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.73%, its highest since early 2025. Will it still be above 4.60% at the Aug 24 close?"

90% community accuracy 20 votes Outcome: Yes

🏛 Politics Most-predicted

"Will Darlene Graham win the special election to replace her beloved brother Lindsey in the Senate?"

68% community accuracy 37 votes Outcome: Yes

This week's index reflects 40 questions and 967 community votes. Read the methodology →