Week of June 28, 2026 — July 4, 2026
70%
community accuracy on 44 of 63 resolved questions
By category
🏈
Sports
71%
15 of 21
💰
Markets
43%
3 of 7
🏛
Politics
80%
12 of 15
🎬
Culture
60%
6 of 10
💻
Technology
67%
2 of 3
🌍
World
86%
6 of 7
Questions that mattered
🏈 Sports
Biggest miss
"WC PROGNOSTICATION: Will a dominant Argentina beat Cinderella Cape Verde by at least 2 goals on Fri?"
14% community accuracy
44 votes
Outcome: No
🏛 Politics
Biggest hit
"Will Platner maintain his RCP polling lead over Collins for Maine Senate seat on June 30?"
96% community accuracy
44 votes
Outcome: Yes
🏛 Politics
Most-predicted
"Will the RCP polling average for Trump's approval rating be 40%+ on June 30? 40.4% now."
52% community accuracy
73 votes
Outcome: Yes
This week's index reflects 63 questions and 2,562 community votes. Read the methodology →