Will the $1.1 trillion defense spending bill pass the House this week?
57% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 51 predictions cast.
The House rejected the procedural rule needed to advance the roughly $1.1 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act and a companion State-Foreign Operations spending bill on June 30, 2026, voting 198-224. Fourteen Republicans, including Reps. Chip Roy, Anna Paulina Luna, Thomas Massie, Lauren Boebert and Victoria Spartz, joined all Democrats in opposition.
The defection stemmed from a leadership maneuver in which Speaker Mike Johnson's team had attached the SAVE America Act, a voter-identification and proof-of-citizenship elections measure, to the defense package to force a single up-or-down vote. Several Republican holdouts objected to bundling an unrelated elections bill with defense funding, while others cited unresolved border-security demands.
Following the failed rule vote, GOP leadership canceled the remainder of the week's floor votes and sent the House into an early Fourth of July recess, pushing the defense bill and related measures to mid-July.
The community leaned toward a correct call: 57 percent of voters predicted the bill would not pass this week, matching the actual outcome.