Will the US bomb Iran again before a final nuke deal is signed?

On June 26, 2026, U.S. Central Command aircraft struck four Iranian targets — missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar sites on Qeshm Island — in response to an Iranian drone attack on the Singapore-flagged cargo ship Ever Lovely in the Strait of Hormuz. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps drone struck the vessel as it was departing the strait, damaging the bridge several miles off the Omani coast. President Trump called the attack a "foolish violation" of the 60-day ceasefire memorandum of understanding both parties had signed on June 17, and U.S. Central Command deployed six land-based aircraft for the retaliatory strikes. Iran's IRGC Navy subsequently said it targeted U.S. military positions in the region, warning that future American attacks would draw "a broader response." The exchange came while negotiations toward a final nuclear agreement remained unfinished under the 60-day MOU framework — no signed deal was in place at the time of the strikes. The majority of Predict Six participants had predicted no further U.S. military action against Iran, putting them on the wrong side of this outcome.