Will CENTCOM announce new strikes on Iran-backed militias in Iraq before Aug 7?
100% of users predicted YES โ the community missed this one. 1 predictions cast.
CENTCOM did not announce new strikes on Iran-backed militias in Iraq in the days leading up to August 7, 2026. The most recent such action came on July 28, when U.S. and Saudi forces conducted joint air strikes against Iran-aligned militia sites in eastern Iraq in response to a wave of drone attacks; Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces reported casualties among its members. That round followed the collapse of a mid-June ceasefire and a subsequent U.S. bombing campaign against Iran. By early August, the conflict entered another lull: President Trump said on August 1 that the U.S. had agreed to pause attacks on Iran while the two sides discussed terms of a deal that would include reopening the Strait of Hormuz, part of a repeated pattern of announced pauses throughout the summer-long conflict. No further CENTCOM strikes on Iraqi militias were reported before the resolution deadline. The community had priced this question at 100% Yes, anticipating continued strikes consistent with the conflict's escalatory pattern earlier in the summer, but it resolved No, a notable gap between market expectation and the actual outcome reflecting the unpredictable start-stop nature of the broader U.S.-Iran confrontation.