Suffolk's last poll had Troy Jackson up 2 in Maine. Can he end Susan Collins's five terms on Nov 3?
70% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 10 predictions cast.
Five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins lost her bid for a sixth term in Maine's Nov. 3, 2026 election, conceding to Democratic state Sen. Troy Jackson shortly after midnight, according to Daily Montanan and NPR. Jackson, a former president of the Maine Senate, becomes the first Democrat to win a U.S. Senate race in Maine since 1988. Collins issued a statement through her campaign rather than delivering a concession speech to supporters in Bangor.
Jackson became the Democratic nominee in late July after original frontrunner Graham Platner dropped out following a sexual assault allegation he denied. Despite that late shakeup and Collins's three-decade incumbency, Jackson built momentum in the race's closing weeks; a final Suffolk poll had shown him up two points before Election Day.
The result capped a broader night of Democratic gains across the Senate map, with networks projecting the party also flipped seats in states including Iowa and North Carolina en route to taking control of the chamber.
The Predict Six community correctly called this one: 70% of forecasters expected Jackson to unseat Collins, and he did.