Will the winner of this year's HR Derby, with new rules, hit at least 30 dingers in their 50+ swings?
59% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 29 predictions cast.
St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Jordan Walker won the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby on July 13, 2026, at the All-Star break, becoming the first Cardinal to win the event. Walker and Kyle Schwarber each hit 19 home runs through the first two rounds, setting up a head-to-head final. In the deciding round, Walker hit 12 home runs to Schwarber's 11, clinching the title with a 407-foot blast to left field, after homering on six straight swings, including three in the bonus period.
Under the event's revised format for 2026, each competitor gets 50-plus swings across regulation and bonus time rather than a fixed timed round, and Walker's winning tally of at least 12 home runs in a single round, combined with his earlier-round output, cleared the 30-homer threshold across his overall derby swings, meeting the question's bar. He earned a $1 million prize, exceeding his 2026 MLB salary of $799,400.
The community majority (59% predicted yes) correctly anticipated a big power output under the new format, which was designed to reward high-volume hitting deep into competitors' swing allotments.