Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take the Senate. Will they get there in the Nov 3 midterms?
67% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 9 predictions cast.
Democrats flipped the U.S. Senate in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections, clearing the net gain of four seats they needed to take control from Republicans, who had held a 53-47 majority heading into Election Day. The Associated Press called Senate races in Kansas, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, South Carolina and Texas for Democratic candidates as results came in, according to CNBC's election-night coverage, pushing the party past the threshold needed for a majority once independents who caucus with Democrats are counted.
Key flips included pastor Adam Hamilton's upset of Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas, Roy Cooper's win in North Carolina, and Sherrod Brown's recapture of his former Ohio seat over Jon Husted. The wins were driven by a favorable midterm climate for the opposition party, slipping approval for the Trump administration in several battleground states, and strong late fundraising and turnout for Democratic Senate candidates competing in traditionally red states.
The result reversed the unified Republican control of Washington that had held since 2024. The Predict Six community got this one right: 67% of voters forecast Democrats would reach the needed seat gain, consistent with final forecasts such as Sabato's Crystal Ball, which had projected a six-seat Democratic Senate pickup heading into Election Day.