Tom Cruise's 'Digger' cost $125 million and is tracking for a $19 million debut. Will Anne Hathaway's 'Verity' out-gross it Oct 2-4?
67% of users predicted NO — the community missed this one. 9 predictions cast.
Amazon MGM's psychological thriller 'Verity,' starring Anne Hathaway, Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, opened to an estimated $32.6 million domestically over its October 2-4, 2026 debut weekend, easily outgrossing Warner Bros.' 'Digger.' Tom Cruise's satire, directed by Alejandro G. Inarritu and carrying a production budget reported between $125 million and $180 million, collapsed to just $8 million in its opening weekend, Cruise's worst debut since 2007's 'Lions for Lambs.'
Verity benefited from a heavily female turnout (78% of opening-weekend audience) and the built-in fanbase of Colleen Hoover's source novel, while Digger was hurt by mixed reviews (51% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a C+ CinemaScore. Verity also added $30 million internationally for a $62.5 million global debut, while Digger managed only $12 million overseas.
Only 33% of the Predict Six community predicted Verity would out-gross Digger, making this a case where the community badly underestimated the scale of Digger's collapse relative to Verity's strength. The result extended a pattern in late 2026 of expensive star-driven theatrical releases underperforming against mid-budget genre films with built-in audiences.