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Madonna leads the VMAs with 11 nominations and performs for the first time in 23 years. Will she take Video of the Year on Sept 27?

On September 28, 2026, this question resolved NO.

64% of users predicted YES โ€” the community missed this one. 11 predictions cast.

Madonna did not win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards, held September 27 in Los Angeles. Taylor Swift won the award instead, for "The Fate of Ophelia," extending her record as the most-decorated artist in the category's history.

Madonna led the field with 11 nominations entering the show and still had a big night, winning seven awards total, including Artist of the Year, Best Dance and Best Collaboration for "Bring Your Love" with Sabrina Carpenter, while performing at the VMAs for the first time in 23 years. But Video of the Year, the ceremony's top honor for a single music video, went to Swift, who also received the show's inaugural Artist Director Honors recognizing her broader creative work.

The community correctly anticipated this outcome, with only 27% expecting Madonna to win Video of the Year. The split outcome โ€” Madonna claiming the overall Artist of the Year title while Swift took the top video honor โ€” meant the night's two most-nominated stars each left with a marquee award, rather than one dominating both top categories.

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