Will Tom Tiffany clear 80% in Wisconsin's Republican primary for governor on Aug 11?
100% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 1 predictions cast.
U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany won Wisconsin's Republican gubernatorial primary on Aug. 11, 2026, taking roughly 96-97 percent of the vote against Andy Manske, according to results reported by NBC News and The Associated Press. The margin comfortably cleared the 80 percent threshold specified in the question.
The lopsided result reflected broad Republican consolidation behind Tiffany, a five-term congressman from Wisconsin's 7th District who entered the race with backing from party leaders and national conservative figures, leaving his primary opponent with little organizational or financial support. Manske, a lesser-known candidate, was unable to mount a competitive challenge, and the primary drew comparatively modest turnout typical of a race with a clear frontrunner.
Tiffany's decisive win sets up a general-election contest for the Wisconsin governorship, a seat that has drawn national attention given the state's status as a perennial presidential battleground. The Associated Press called the Republican race in Tiffany's favor on Aug. 12, 2026, citing his overwhelming vote share.
The Predict Six community correctly forecast this outcome, with 100 percent of predictions (on a single vote) favoring YES ahead of the primary, correctly anticipating that Tiffany would clear the 80 percent bar.