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Washington has told Gulf states to brace for a short, intense campaign on Iran after the midterms. Will U.S. forces strike Iran by Nov 12?

On November 13, 2026, this question resolved YES.

67% of users predicted YES โ€” the community got this one right. 9 predictions cast.

US forces carried out limited strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island on Nov. 6-7, 2026, the first such action since Republicans suffered sweeping losses in Tuesday's midterm elections, NBC News reported. President Trump, asked about the operation, said "we do minor strikes" without detailing the target, while US officials described the action as defensive in nature.

The strikes came as the US maintained a naval blockade on Iranian ports and pressed for a diplomatic settlement to the war that began earlier in 2026. Iranian state media reported explosions on Qeshm Island, and Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said Tehran reserved the right to self-defense. US officials cautioned the operation did not signal a return to full-scale combat.

The Nov. 6-7 strikes followed a separate round of US strikes on the same island in early November, before the midterms, underscoring the intermittent nature of the conflict even as both sides discussed terms for ending it. Gulf states had reportedly been told to brace for a short, intense US campaign against Iran once the midterms concluded.

Predict Six's community put 67% odds on a strike occurring by Nov. 12, correctly anticipating the outcome.

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