The last public poll had them tied at 40%. Will Peggy Flanagan beat Angie Craig in Minnesota's DFL Senate primary on Aug 11?
100% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 1 predictions cast.
Peggy Flanagan, Minnesota's lieutenant governor, defeated U.S. Rep. Angie Craig in the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party's U.S. Senate primary on August 11, 2026, winning by a margin of roughly 58.8% to 39.7%, according to results reported by the Minnesota Reformer and NBC News. The outcome was framed by both outlets as a victory for the party's progressive flank.
Flanagan drew support from prominent progressive figures, including Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Ilhan Omar, whose endorsements were cited as factors in her win. Coverage also pointed to a policy split over immigration as an immediate cause of the divide between the candidates, with Craig's record on measures such as the Laken Riley Act drawing scrutiny from progressive voters during the campaign.
The primary was among the most closely watched Senate contests of the 2026 cycle in Minnesota, with the winner set to face the Republican nominee in November. Public polling in the run-up to the primary had shown the race essentially tied, with both candidates near 40% support.
The prediction community correctly forecast the outcome. All recorded predictions (voteCount of 1, 100% of respondents) anticipated a Flanagan win, consistent with the tight pre-primary polling described in the question, though the final margin proved more decisive than the polling had suggested.