House Republicans vote on leadership Nov 10, a week after the midterms. Does Mike Johnson hold on as their leader?
100% of users predicted NO โ the community got this one right. 4 predictions cast.
House Speaker Mike Johnson told Republican colleagues on Nov. 4 that he would not seek a leadership post in the next Congress, according to a letter obtained by Axios, ending his bid to continue leading House Republicans after the party's steep midterm losses. Johnson cited the toll the speakership had taken on his family and is expected to remain in the House as a rank-and-file member representing Louisiana. His decision came after Democrats won back the House majority in the Nov. 3 midterm elections, which meant the GOP leader's post would shift from speaker to minority leader regardless of who held it. Johnson's exit immediately opened a leadership contest between Majority Leader Steve Scalise and Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan, both of whom launched bids within days. House Republicans held internal leadership elections by secret ballot on Nov. 10, a week after the midterms, and Jordan defeated Scalise to become the new House GOP leader. The community got this one right: every Predict Six voter correctly predicted Johnson would not hold on to the leadership position, reflecting how clearly his decision to step aside had been signaled in the days immediately following the election.
Sources
- Read Mike Johnson's departing message (2026-11-04)
- House Speaker Mike Johnson won't seek reelection (2026-11-04)