Will the Justice Dept announce an investigation into George Santos' prediction mkt cheating b4 6/15?
61% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 33 predictions cast.
The Justice Department did not make a formal public announcement of an investigation into former Congressman George Santos's alleged prediction-market trades before June 15, 2026. Santos is accused of betting against his own publicly stated plans to attend the 2026 State of the Union address on Kalshi, the federally regulated prediction marketplace, and profiting in the tens of thousands of dollars when he did not appear. Kalshi froze Santos's account and referred the matter to federal authorities after flagging the suspicious trades. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission confirmed it is examining the case. On June 2, NPR and CNN reported that the Justice Department was also investigating, citing sources — but at least one outlet subsequently reported that DOJ told them directly it was not conducting an investigation, leaving the agency's involvement publicly unconfirmed. No press release or official statement from the DOJ was issued within the question's window. A 61 percent majority of predictors correctly voted against a formal DOJ announcement by the deadline.