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Trump says Iran faces a harsh new attack if Hormuz stays shut. Will the U.S. announce new strikes before Aug 21?

On August 21, 2026, this question resolved NO.

52% of users predicted YES โ€” the community missed this one. 31 predictions cast.

The United States had not announced new strikes on Iran by August 21, 2026, despite President Trump's warnings of a "harsh new attack" if the Strait of Hormuz remained closed to shipping. As of August 18, Trump said no talks were underway or scheduled with Iran after a 60-day deadline to reach a deal had expired, while Tehran maintained the strait would stay shut and warned the standoff could be "prolonged."

Trump also threatened action against Oman over its role in mediation efforts, and indirect contacts between Washington and Tehran reportedly continued through Pakistani intermediaries, but no new US military strikes on Iran were announced in this window. The standoff kept oil prices elevated and shipping through the strait disrupted. This followed an earlier round of US strikes on Iranian military targets in July, part of an active US-Iran conflict that had been ongoing for months.

Community voting was nearly evenly split, with 52 percent predicting new strikes would be announced. The actual outcome was NO, meaning the narrow community majority was wrong.

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