Will 'Spider-Man: Brand New Day' fall more than 60% domestically in its second weekend, Aug 7-9?
60% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 5 predictions cast.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grossed about $145 million domestically over its second weekend, Aug. 7-9, 2026, a 59% decline from its record-setting $355 million opening, according to Variety and The Hollywood Reporter. The drop, while steep, stayed under the 60% threshold and marked one of the largest second weekends in box office history, trailing only a handful of prior blockbusters. The film benefited from strong weekday holdover business and positive audience word of mouth that slowed the typical post-opening falloff for a big-budget franchise release. By the close of its second weekend, the film's domestic total had already cleared $500 million, putting it on pace to be one of the year's top-grossing releases. Sony released the film as the latest chapter in its Spider-Man franchise following a marketing push built around a record opening-day gross the prior weekend. The community leaned toward expecting a steeper decline: 40% of votes predicted the film would fall more than 60%, while the 60% majority who predicted a smaller drop had the outcome right.