Will all 50 states report at least one cyclospora case before Aug 5th? Current count is 41.
82% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 34 predictions cast.
The multistate cyclosporiasis outbreak linked to contaminated produce had not reached all 50 states by August 5, 2026. CDC surveillance updated August 4 showed nearly 23,000 confirmed and probable cases reported across 47 states since May 1, with only New Mexico, Montana and Hawaii reporting zero cases. The outbreak, tied largely to Taylor Farms iceberg lettuce grown in central Mexico, had produced 517 hospitalizations and two deaths as of the update.
The case count grew rapidly through July as CDC and state health departments traced illnesses to lettuce served at fast-food chains including Taco Bell, expanding the list of affected states week over week from an earlier count of 41. Reaching the final three holdout states before the August 5 cutoff proved unlikely given the outbreak's food-distribution pattern, which concentrated cases in states served by the implicated supply chain rather than spreading evenly nationwide.
The community leaned heavily toward "no" on this question, with only 18% predicting all 50 states would report a case by the deadline. That forecast proved correct, as the outbreak topped out at 47 states rather than achieving full national spread.