Will US ground troops be sent in to take Kharg Island by 6/15, a place Trump really wants to control?
83% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 30 predictions cast.
No U.S. ground troops were deployed to Iran's Kharg Island before June 15, 2026. The island, which handles roughly 90 percent of Iranian crude oil exports, was the target of U.S. airstrikes in March 2026 that the Pentagon said destroyed more than 90 Iranian military installations. In the weeks following those strikes, Trump alternated between threatening a ground seizure of the island and claiming a diplomatic settlement was underway; Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps dismissed both characterizations, saying no ceasefire or deal had been confirmed. Iran had reinforced the island's defensive perimeter in anticipation of a potential ground assault, according to CNN reporting. The combination of Iranian defensive preparation, the logistical complexity of an amphibious or airborne assault, and ongoing diplomatic signaling kept ground operations off the table within the question's window. An 83 percent majority of predictors correctly voted against a ground troop deployment to Kharg Island by the deadline.