Will the new spat between Anthropic and the administration be resolved before Thursday?
56% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 34 predictions cast.
The White House export control dispute with Anthropic remained unresolved by June 18, 2026. On June 12, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick issued a directive ordering Anthropic to immediately suspend all access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models for any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States. Unable to screen users by nationality at scale, Anthropic disabled both models globally, taking its two most capable AI systems offline for all users worldwide.
The action followed a briefing to senior administration officials by Amazon CEO Andy Jassy, who described how Amazon researchers had used a sequence of prompts to elicit restricted cybersecurity information from Mythos 5. White House AI adviser David Sacks later said Anthropic had declined to patch the vulnerability before the government acted. Anthropic disputed that characterization, arguing the jailbreak was narrow in scope and that comparable techniques could extract similar capabilities from competing models not subject to the same restrictions.
Senior Anthropic technical staff traveled to Washington over the weekend of June 14-15 to negotiate with Commerce Department officials, and the company submitted a formal proposal to Secretary Lutnick. Talks were still ongoing as of June 18, with no resolution announced and both models remaining offline. The Predict Six community gave only 44 percent odds of a resolution before Thursday, correctly anticipating the stalemate.