Will the ADP report show fewer than 50,000 private jobs added in July when it lands Aug 5?
50% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 2 predictions cast.
ADP reported on August 5, 2026, that private-sector employment increased by 44,000 jobs in July, coming in under the 50,000 threshold in the question and well below the roughly 70,000 economists had forecast. It was the smallest monthly gain in six months and followed a downwardly revised 95,000 gain in June. Annual pay for job-stayers rose 4.4% year over year, while pay growth for job-changers accelerated to 7.0%, the fastest since August 2025.
The sector breakdown showed goods-producing employers shed 3,000 jobs while service-providing employers added 47,000, with education and health services leading gains at 36,000 jobs and leisure and hospitality losing 11,000. The soft print added to a string of cooling labor-market data points ahead of the Federal Reserve's next policy decision, feeding market expectations for interest-rate cuts.
The community was evenly split on this question at 50% communityYesPct on just two votes. The actual reading of 44,000 came in below the 50,000 threshold, meaning the yes side of that split was correct.