Will the RCP polling average for Trump's approval rating be 40%+ on June 30? 40.4% now.
52% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 73 predictions cast.
President Trump's RealClearPolling job approval average stood at or above 40 percent as of June 30, 2026, resolving the question in the affirmative. The average had dipped to a two-term low of approximately 39.8 percent in late May amid public backlash over the IRS immunity settlement, rising consumer prices, and persistent disapproval of the administration's domestic policy agenda. By late June, the average recovered to the low-40s range as some pollsters registered modest upticks. Trump's disapproval rating hit a record 58.3 percent in May 2026 — the highest of either of his two presidential terms — before easing slightly in June. The approval-disapproval gap remains historically wide compared with previous presidents at a similar juncture. The approval average has now hovered in the 39-to-41-percent band for several consecutive months, reflecting a consistent pattern of low approval with limited upside movement. The community was nearly evenly split, with 52 percent predicting the average would remain at or above 40 percent — a close call that nearly went the other way during the May dip.