With a resounding endorsement from Trump, will My Pillow Lindell win the Minn Gov R primary on 8/11?
56% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 34 predictions cast.
Mike Lindell, the MyPillow founder endorsed by President Trump, lost the Republican primary for Minnesota governor on August 11, 2026. Minnesota House Speaker Lisa Demuth won the primary with roughly 43 to 44 percent of the vote, according to NPR and CBS News Minnesota. Lindell finished second with about 32 percent, and businessman Kendall Qualls placed third with about 21 percent.
Despite Trump's endorsement, Lindell was unable to overcome Demuth's support within the state Republican establishment and the legislature, where she has served as House Speaker. Lindell's campaign also faced ongoing legal and financial troubles stemming from defamation lawsuits tied to his 2020 election fraud claims, which weighed on his bid throughout the race. Demuth campaigned as a more traditional, legislatively experienced Republican alternative and consolidated support from party officials and elected leaders in the closing weeks of the primary.
The result sets up Demuth as the Republican nominee heading into the general election for Minnesota governor.
The prediction market community assessed this question incorrectly. Ahead of the primary, 56 percent of votes on the market favored a "yes" outcome, that Lindell would win, based on 34 total votes recorded. The actual outcome was "no": Lindell lost the primary to Demuth.
Sources: NPR (August 11, 2026) and CBS News Minnesota (August 11, 2026).