Will Open AI officially announce before July 4 that it is postponing its IPO until 2027?
57% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 40 predictions cast.
Reporting in late June 2026 indicated OpenAI was leaning toward delaying its initial public offering from late 2026 into 2027, but the company never made a formal public announcement to that effect before the July 4 deadline. The New York Times reported on June 25, 2026, citing unnamed sources, that OpenAI's advisers had presented CEO Sam Altman with a choice: list in 2026 at a valuation below $1 trillion, or wait until 2027 in hopes of clearing that threshold. Altman reportedly called a lower valuation a "non-starter." The report came amid broader tech-IPO volatility following SpaceX's rocky stock debut earlier in June, which dampened enthusiasm for near-term listings.
Bloomberg and Forbes covered the story the same day, explicitly attributing the 2027 timeline to the Times' sourcing rather than to any OpenAI statement. OpenAI had confidentially filed paperwork with the SEC on June 8, 2026, but no listing date or delay was confirmed by the company itself. CNBC noted that prediction-market traders on Kalshi still assigned meaningful odds to an OpenAI IPO announcement in 2026 or early 2027, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than resolved fact.
Because coverage remained sourced to unnamed insiders and analyst speculation, with no official OpenAI confirmation, the question resolved No. The near-even 43 percent Yes community vote reflects this genuine ambiguity.