Republicans hold the Senate 53-47. Will the AP call control of the chamber before midnight ET on Nov 3?
50% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 0 predictions cast.
Republicans entered the November 3, 2026 midterms holding a 53-47 Senate majority, but the chamber flipped as returns came in that night. The Associated Press began calling control of the Senate for Democrats during election night itself, as decisive wins piled up in Kansas, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, South Carolina and Texas, according to CNBC's live election-night coverage and companion reporting from NPR and the Washington Post on the Kansas race.
Vote counting moved quickly enough in several of the targeted races that AP's decision desk was able to project the new majority before the night was over, rather than the contest dragging into days of recounts or slow mail-ballot tabulation that some analysts had expected given five closely rated toss-up races. Larger-than-anticipated margins in states such as Kansas and Ohio let AP's analytics team rule out any remaining path for the trailing Republican candidates well before midnight ET.
No community consensus was recorded for this specific question before resolution, since zero votes were cast on Predict Six, so there is no outcome gap to assess. By the next morning, both parties and news organizations were already operating on the understanding that Democrats, not Republicans, would organize the new Senate.