A ceasefire brokered by Melania Trump in Russian-occupied Oleshky is set to begin Oct 29 so the roughly 2,000 residents still trapped there can leave. Will Ukraine report any civilians evacuated from Oleshky by Nov 2?

The first group of civilians evacuated from Russian-occupied Oleshky in Ukraine's Kherson region on Nov. 1, 2026, under a temporary local ceasefire brokered with the involvement of U.S. first lady Melania Trump and Pope Leo. Ukraine's military said 167 people left the city, including 22 children and 21 residents with limited mobility who required special assistance. Evacuees were bused out along a route through Russian-annexed Crimea to the Russian town of Anapa, then flown to Belarus before continuing overland into Ukrainian-held territory.

The ceasefire, announced by the White House on Oct. 23 and set to begin Oct. 29, aimed to let roughly 2,000 remaining residents -- many elderly and in need of food, medicine and medical care -- leave a city isolated for months amid fighting. Demining crews cleared roads contaminated by explosives to allow the buses through. Evacuees described near-starvation and prolonged isolation after their arrival, and some residents chose to remain in Oleshky despite the opening. The limited, six-day ceasefire did not address the city's broader status.

The Predict Six community unanimously predicted evacuees would be reported by Nov. 2, correctly anticipating the humanitarian corridor would produce a confirmed departure.