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Will any ships passing thru the Strait of Hormuz actually strike a mine before July 4?

On July 4, 2026, this question resolved NO.

75% of users predicted NO โ€” the community got this one right. 67 predictions cast.

The full writeup for this resolution is on the way โ€” Phil's working through this stretch of the archive. The outcome itself, above, is locked in. Check back soon.