The national average has dropped 11 cents in a week to $4.38. Will AAA's gas average slip back below $4.30 by Oct 9?
62% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 8 predictions cast.
The AAA national average for regular gasoline stayed above $4.30 a gallon through October 9, 2026, rather than slipping back down. CNN reported on October 8 that gas and diesel prices were climbing again amid a surge in attacks on tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with roughly ten vessels struck in the stretch spanning late September into early October. The attacks cut daily strait crossings to a two-month low, far below the roughly 85 transits a day typical before the crisis, tightening global crude supply and reversing the modest dip that had briefly brought the national average down to $4.38 the week before. Oil executives, including Saudi Aramco's CEO, warned that global inventories had fallen to unusually thin levels and that prices would stay under pressure until the strait fully reopened. With supply risk rising rather than easing, the pump-price average held above the $4.30 threshold instead of falling back below it.
The Predict Six community leaned toward "no," with only 38% expecting a "yes," correctly anticipating that prices would not retreat given the deepening shipping disruption.