'The Social Network' opened to $22M in 2010. Will Sorkin's sequel 'The Social Reckoning' clear even $8M domestically Oct 9-11?

Aaron Sorkin's 'The Social Reckoning,' a follow-up to 2010's 'The Social Network,' opened to an estimated $5.5 million domestically over its Oct. 9-11, 2026 debut weekend, well short of the $8 million threshold in question and below the studio's already modest $7-8 million projections, according to Variety and Forbes. The film added $3.5 million overseas from 29 markets for a $9 million worldwide start, against a reported budget of about $30 million. Critics were split, with the film landing around 54% on Rotten Tomatoes and a tepid "B-" CinemaScore from opening-weekend audiences. Analysts cited the absence of original director David Fincher, a crowded fall release calendar, and Sorkin's uneven track record as a director among the immediate factors behind the soft debut. The result stood in sharp contrast to 'The Social Network,' which opened to $22.4 million in 2010 en route to nearly $225 million worldwide. 'The Social Reckoning' opened the same weekend as the horror hit 'Other Mommy,' which drew substantially more business. Predict Six's community was unanimous in predicting the film would clear $8 million, with 100% voting "yes" -- making this the week's most lopsided community miss, as the film fell more than 30% short of even that modest bar.