Airbnb reports after the close Aug 6. Will its stock move more than 8% on Aug 7?

Airbnb's stock moved well beyond 8% on August 7, 2026, the session after it reported second-quarter results following the closing bell on August 6, resolving the question yes. The company posted earnings of $1.37 per share against a $1.25 estimate and revenue of $3.61 billion versus $3.58 billion expected, while gross booking value rose 16% year over year to $27.2 billion. Airbnb also raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to at least mid-teens percentage growth, up from its prior low-to-mid-teens outlook, and issued a third-quarter revenue forecast whose low end topped analyst estimates. Shares jumped in after-hours trading following the report and continued higher into the Friday session, pushing the stock to a multi-year high. The rally was driven by the earnings and revenue beat combined with the raised guidance, which eased investor concerns about slowing travel demand. The prediction market community had unanimously forecast no move greater than 8%, at 0%, making this one of the largest gaps between community expectation and outcome among this cluster of questions, as the actual swing exceeded the threshold by a wide margin.