Will Israel and Hamas announce an agreement on the next phase of the Gaza ceasefire before Aug 14?
59% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 29 predictions cast.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected a Trump-backed Board of Peace plan that would have required Hamas to disarm and transfer its weapons to a Palestinian body in exchange for a phased Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, a rejection reported around August 9, 2026. The setback derailed the timeline for a formal next-phase agreement, and on August 14 senior White House adviser Jared Kushner, former British Prime Minister Tony Blair and Board of Peace representative Nickolay Mladenov traveled to Israel and then Cairo to try to salvage the talks with Egyptian, Qatari and Palestinian mediators. Hamas said it remained committed to an earlier framework version of the deal even after Netanyahu's rejection. Netanyahu's move was widely read by observers as an appeal to his right-wing coalition ahead of Israeli elections expected in October. No announcement of a finalized next-phase agreement had been reached by the question's August 14 deadline, extending a months-long pattern of incremental progress followed by setbacks that has characterized the ceasefire process since late 2025. The community's median forecast (41% Yes) leaned toward No and matched the actual outcome.