Trump halted strikes and warned they could resume. Will the U.S. carry out new airstrikes on Iran before Aug 14?
84% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 25 predictions cast.
No new U.S. airstrikes on Iran occurred before the market's August 14, 2026 deadline. President Trump announced on August 2, 2026, that he was calling off planned strikes after saying the U.S. and regional partners had reached the outline of a deal, adding that American and Iranian officials would meet for talks the following Monday. Trump repeated a warning that strikes could resume if Iran reneged, telling reporters the Strait of Hormuz would reopen or Iran would "get hit very hard." Through the following two weeks, CNN and CBS News live coverage tracked continued friction, including disputes over whether direct negotiations had actually begun and Trump's insistence that the U.S. controlled shipping through Hormuz, but no additional American strikes on Iran were reported through August 12-13. The halt was the latest in a pattern of repeated pauses and threatened resumptions that had characterized the conflict since fighting began earlier in 2026. The community had put the odds of new strikes at 84%, a clear majority yes prediction that did not match the actual no outcome.