Will SpaceX stock return to earth next week and end below $135/shr IPO price? Finished day 1 at $161.
69% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 32 predictions cast.
SpaceX stock did not fall below its $135 IPO price in the week following the company's June 12 Nasdaq debut. Shares closed at approximately $185 on June 19, representing a premium of roughly 37 percent over the IPO price and well above the $135 floor the question specified.
SpaceX had set its IPO price at $135 per share — valuing the company at $1.77 trillion — before the stock surged about 19 percent on its first day of trading to close at $161, one of the largest opening-day gains for a major U.S. IPO in recent years. Through the first full trading week, shares continued climbing, driven by investor enthusiasm for Starlink's growing subscriber base, Starship commercial revenue, and the company's government defense and launch contract pipeline.
The question anticipated a common post-IPO pattern: a sharp correction after initial retail excitement fades once lockup-exempt shares become available and early-stage institutional holders trim positions. That dynamic did not materialize within the first week. If anything, institutional accumulation extended the post-IPO rally rather than reversing it.
The Predict Six community largely anticipated the stock would hold above its IPO price: 69 percent of predictors voted no on a return below $135, and the stock finished the week at roughly $185 — 37 percent above the offering price.