Does the July producer price index rise 0.3% or more from June when it lands Aug 13?
100% of users predicted NO — the community got this one right. 2 predictions cast.
The Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in July 2026 on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on August 13 — well short of the 0.3% monthly increase this question asked about. On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices rose 4.7% over the 12 months ended in July, a deceleration from June's pace.
The flat headline masked divergent movement beneath it: a 0.2% rise in prices for final demand services and a 2.2% jump in construction prices were offset by a 0.7% drop in prices for final demand goods. Core PPI, which excludes food, energy, and trade services, told a different story, surging 0.4% — about four times June's pace — driven largely by a spike in portfolio management fees, according to Bloomberg.
The muted headline print came a day after a cooler-than-expected consumer price index reading, reinforcing a narrative of easing wholesale inflation pressure even as certain service categories stayed hot. The Predict Six community had unanimously predicted "no" on this question, correctly anticipating that the 0.3% threshold would not be reached.
The PPI report is closely watched as a leading indicator for the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index, due later in August.