Will Mary Peltola finish first in Alaska's Aug 18 Senate primary?
58% of users predicted YES — the community got this one right. 26 predictions cast.
Democrat Mary Peltola finished first in Alaska's U.S. Senate primary on August 18, 2026, taking 48.1% of the vote to Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan's 42.7%, with 98% of precincts reporting, according to the Anchorage Daily News. Alaska uses an all-party primary in which the top four finishers, regardless of party, advance to a general election decided by ranked-choice voting; Peltola and Sullivan were the top two finishers and both advanced. Peltola, a former U.S. House member who lost her seat in 2024, built her primary lead on strong turnout in Anchorage and rural precincts, while Sullivan's showing raised questions about his standing as an incumbent in a race national analysts have rated among the most competitive Senate contests of the 2026 cycle. The two are set to face off again in the November 3, 2026, general election. Predict Six's community favored yes with 58% of 26 votes, correctly anticipating that Peltola would finish first in the primary.