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Tom Cruise's $125 million 'Digger' is tracking for a $19 million debut. Will it open below $25 million domestically Oct 2-4?

On October 5, 2026, this question resolved YES.

70% of users predicted YES โ€” the community got this one right. 10 predictions cast.

Tom Cruise's satirical film 'Digger,' directed by Alejandro G. Inarritu for Warner Bros., opened to just $8 million domestically over its October 2-4, 2026 debut weekend, falling well below the $25 million threshold and marking Cruise's worst opening since 2007's 'Lions for Lambs.' The film, carrying a production budget reported between $125 million and $180 million, drew a C+ CinemaScore from audiences and a 51% approval rating from critics on Rotten Tomatoes. It opened in fifth place at the domestic box office, trailing well behind Amazon MGM's 'Verity,' which debuted at $32.6 million the same weekend.

Overseas, Digger added just $12 million for a $20 million global total, putting the film on pace to lose an estimated $150 million or more for the studio.

The Predict Six community correctly anticipated the bomb, with 70% predicting an opening below $25 million, reflecting soft pre-release tracking of roughly $19 million that had already signaled trouble. The result capped a rough stretch for big-budget, star-driven theatrical releases in late 2026 and stood as one of the largest financial disasters of Cruise's film career.

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