Will Francesca Hong win Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor on Aug 11?
100% of users predicted YES — the community missed this one. 2 predictions cast.
David Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive, defeated Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary on Aug. 11, in a race decided by roughly four-tenths of a percentage point, about 39.8% to 39.4%. The Associated Press called the contest for Crowley on Aug. 12 after a photo finish.
Crowley, a moderate, drew on institutional backing and organized labor support that helped him consolidate votes in a divided field, while Hong, a state representative running as a democratic socialist, led the race's progressive lane but was unable to expand her coalition enough to overcome Crowley's advantage. The narrow margin reflected a broader moderate-versus-progressive split within the Wisconsin Democratic primary field.
Crowley advances to face the Republican nominee in the general election.
The community prediction on this question was unanimous in the wrong direction: 100% of forecasts favored a Hong win, though that figure was based on only two recorded votes, a very small sample that nonetheless proved entirely inaccurate against the actual outcome.